Publications
"How Does Progressivity Affect the Tax Cut Multiplier?", April 2026, International Economic Review
"The Effects of Macroprudential Policy Restricting Housing Investor Credit Supply" (with Nalini Prasad) Journal of Urban Economics, 149, September 2025
"The Effect of School Closures on Standardized Test Scores: Evidence Under Zero-COVID Policies", (with Nalini Prasad) Economics of Education Review, October 2024, 102(577)
"Political Attitudes and Inflation Expectations: Evidence and Implications" (with Nalini Prasad and Tim Robinson), June 2021, [Web Appendix], Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 53(4), 605-634 (lead article)
"Nudging Businesses to Pay Their Taxes: Does Timing Matter?" (with Mathias Sinning), Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 169: 284-300, January 2020
“Does Global Inflation Help Forecast Inflation in Industrialized Countries?" (with Martin McCarthy), Journal of Applied Econometrics, 34(5), 850-857, 2019
“The Effect of Consumer Sentiment on Consumption: Cross-Sectional Evidence from Elections” (with Nalini Prasad), American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 10(4), 234-269, 2018
“The Use of Third-Party Information Reporting for Tax Deductions: Evidence and Implications from Charitable
Deductions in Denmark” (with Peer Skov), Oxford Economic Papers, 70(3), 892-916, 2018
“Do Output Contractions Cause Investment in Fiscal Capacity?” American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 9(2), 189-227, 2017
“A Characteristics Approach to Optimal Taxation: Line Drawing and Tax-Driven Product Innovation” (with Henrik Jacobsen Kleven and Joel Slemrod), Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 119(2), 240-267, 2017
“Does Evasion Invalidate the Welfare Sufficiency of the ETI?” (with Joel Slemrod), B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, 16(4), 2016
“The Sticky Information Phillips Curve: Evidence for Australia”, Economic Record, 92, 548-567, 2016
“Housing Wealth Effects: Cross-Sectional Evidence from New Vehicle Registrations” (with Jin Cong Wang), Economic Record 92(S1), 30-51, 2016 (Winner of the Best Paper Prize for the Economic Record in 2016.)
“Inflation Targeting: A Victim of Its Own Success” (with John Simon), International Journal of Central Banking 11(S1), 259-287, 2015
“Insights from a Tax-systems Perspective” (with Joel Slemrod) CESifo Economic Studies 60(1), 1-31, 2014
“Urban Structure and Housing Prices: Some Evidence from Australian Cities” (with Mariano Kulish and Anthony Richards) Economic Record 88(282), 303-322, 2012
“The Australian Business Cycle: A Coincident Indicator Approach” (with Jonathan Kearns and Anthony Richards) in C. Kent and D. Norman (eds), The Changing Nature of the Business Cycle, Proceedings of a Conference, Reserve Bank of Australia, Sydney, 11‑12 July, 262-307, 2005
Book
Slemrod, Joel and Christian Gillitzer, ‘Tax Systems’, Zeuthen Lectures Book Series, 2014. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
Review by David Albouy, Journal of Economic Literature 52(4), 1173-1175, 2014
Review by Michael Keen, National Tax Journal 69(2), 461-470, 2016, June
Working papers
"Rental Property Tax Deductions and Individual Investor Housing Demand" TTPI Working Paper 19/2025, November 2025
R&R at American Economic Journal: Economic Policy
"The Mortgage Debt Channel of Monetary Policy when Mortgages are Liquid" (with Matthew Elias, Greg Kaplan, Gianni LaCava and Nalini Prasad) NBER Working Paper 34461, November 2025
"Using Tax Kinks to Estimate the Marginal Propensity to Consume" (with Rasmus Landersø, Peer Ebbesen Skov and Jakob Egholt Søgaard) TTPI Working Paper 5/2025, March 2025
Older unpublished working papers
"Trade Invoicing Currency and First-stage Exchange Rate Pass-through" (with Angus Moore) Reserve Bank of Australia Research Discussion Paper 2016-05, June 2016
"Disagreement about Inflation Expectations" (with Alexander Ballantyne, David Jacobs and Ewan Rankin) Reserve Bank of Australia Research Discussion Paper 2016-02, April 2016
"Forecasting with Factors: The Accuracy of Timeliness" (with Jonathan Kearns) Reserve Bank of Australia Research Discussion Paper 2007-03, April 2007
"Component-smoothed Inflation: Estimating the Persistent Component of Inflation in Real Time" (with John Simon) Reserve Bank of Australia Research Discussion Paper 2006-11, December 2006
"Long-term Patterns in Australia's Terms of Trade" (with Jonathan Kearns) Reserve Bank of Australia Research Discussion Paper 2005-01, April 2005
"How Does Progressivity Affect the Tax Cut Multiplier?", April 2026, International Economic Review
"The Effects of Macroprudential Policy Restricting Housing Investor Credit Supply" (with Nalini Prasad) Journal of Urban Economics, 149, September 2025
"The Effect of School Closures on Standardized Test Scores: Evidence Under Zero-COVID Policies", (with Nalini Prasad) Economics of Education Review, October 2024, 102(577)
"Political Attitudes and Inflation Expectations: Evidence and Implications" (with Nalini Prasad and Tim Robinson), June 2021, [Web Appendix], Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 53(4), 605-634 (lead article)
"Nudging Businesses to Pay Their Taxes: Does Timing Matter?" (with Mathias Sinning), Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 169: 284-300, January 2020
“Does Global Inflation Help Forecast Inflation in Industrialized Countries?" (with Martin McCarthy), Journal of Applied Econometrics, 34(5), 850-857, 2019
“The Effect of Consumer Sentiment on Consumption: Cross-Sectional Evidence from Elections” (with Nalini Prasad), American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 10(4), 234-269, 2018
“The Use of Third-Party Information Reporting for Tax Deductions: Evidence and Implications from Charitable
Deductions in Denmark” (with Peer Skov), Oxford Economic Papers, 70(3), 892-916, 2018
“Do Output Contractions Cause Investment in Fiscal Capacity?” American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 9(2), 189-227, 2017
“A Characteristics Approach to Optimal Taxation: Line Drawing and Tax-Driven Product Innovation” (with Henrik Jacobsen Kleven and Joel Slemrod), Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 119(2), 240-267, 2017
“Does Evasion Invalidate the Welfare Sufficiency of the ETI?” (with Joel Slemrod), B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, 16(4), 2016
“The Sticky Information Phillips Curve: Evidence for Australia”, Economic Record, 92, 548-567, 2016
“Housing Wealth Effects: Cross-Sectional Evidence from New Vehicle Registrations” (with Jin Cong Wang), Economic Record 92(S1), 30-51, 2016 (Winner of the Best Paper Prize for the Economic Record in 2016.)
“Inflation Targeting: A Victim of Its Own Success” (with John Simon), International Journal of Central Banking 11(S1), 259-287, 2015
“Insights from a Tax-systems Perspective” (with Joel Slemrod) CESifo Economic Studies 60(1), 1-31, 2014
“Urban Structure and Housing Prices: Some Evidence from Australian Cities” (with Mariano Kulish and Anthony Richards) Economic Record 88(282), 303-322, 2012
“The Australian Business Cycle: A Coincident Indicator Approach” (with Jonathan Kearns and Anthony Richards) in C. Kent and D. Norman (eds), The Changing Nature of the Business Cycle, Proceedings of a Conference, Reserve Bank of Australia, Sydney, 11‑12 July, 262-307, 2005
Book
Slemrod, Joel and Christian Gillitzer, ‘Tax Systems’, Zeuthen Lectures Book Series, 2014. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
Review by David Albouy, Journal of Economic Literature 52(4), 1173-1175, 2014
Review by Michael Keen, National Tax Journal 69(2), 461-470, 2016, June
Working papers
"Rental Property Tax Deductions and Individual Investor Housing Demand" TTPI Working Paper 19/2025, November 2025
R&R at American Economic Journal: Economic Policy
"The Mortgage Debt Channel of Monetary Policy when Mortgages are Liquid" (with Matthew Elias, Greg Kaplan, Gianni LaCava and Nalini Prasad) NBER Working Paper 34461, November 2025
"Using Tax Kinks to Estimate the Marginal Propensity to Consume" (with Rasmus Landersø, Peer Ebbesen Skov and Jakob Egholt Søgaard) TTPI Working Paper 5/2025, March 2025
Older unpublished working papers
"Trade Invoicing Currency and First-stage Exchange Rate Pass-through" (with Angus Moore) Reserve Bank of Australia Research Discussion Paper 2016-05, June 2016
"Disagreement about Inflation Expectations" (with Alexander Ballantyne, David Jacobs and Ewan Rankin) Reserve Bank of Australia Research Discussion Paper 2016-02, April 2016
"Forecasting with Factors: The Accuracy of Timeliness" (with Jonathan Kearns) Reserve Bank of Australia Research Discussion Paper 2007-03, April 2007
"Component-smoothed Inflation: Estimating the Persistent Component of Inflation in Real Time" (with John Simon) Reserve Bank of Australia Research Discussion Paper 2006-11, December 2006
"Long-term Patterns in Australia's Terms of Trade" (with Jonathan Kearns) Reserve Bank of Australia Research Discussion Paper 2005-01, April 2005
